Liberals (45%) solidify lead in Ontario
The Liberals have established a massive lead as the ABC (anything but Conservative) strategic vote coalesces around Justin Trudeau in response to NDP’s support evaporating in Quebec, according to a survey carried out by Google Consumer Surveys and commissioned by ThinkPol.
Trudeau’s team were sitting solid at 45%, followed by the Conservatives at 27%, NDP at 24%, and the Greens at 4%, the survey conducted between the Wednesday and Friday showed.
The Liberals dominated both genders and all age groups except the 65 and over group, which sided with the Conservatives, who came last behind the Greens for the 18-24 and 25-34 age groups.
The Liberals also led in all income groups except the $24,000 or less group, which favoured NDP.
The Liberal Party’s rise coincide with the fall of the NDP, who have gone from leading nationally to their usual third place spot.
A Léger poll carried out between Monday and Wednesday showed the Liberals and the NDP tied at 28% in Quebec, a drastic drop for Thomas Mulcair’s team, who were firmly at the top with 46% in early September.
Meanwhile, the ABC movement’s message seems to be resonating with the progressive voters who fear that a split left would allow Stephen Harper to sneak a victory.
“As much as I hate to admit it, if we want Harper out of office, we need to vote strategically,” a viral post doing the rounds on Facebook reads. “It’s frustrating. It means to make your vote count, we need to band together in each riding. The current electoral system does not allow for each individual vote to count.”
The Google Consumer Survey polled 500 Ontario residents and the results are deemed accurate within 4.6 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.